Forecast Text




 

January 21, 2022

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General Ideas:

A series of weak clipper systems to bring snows to most areas north of I-80 today into the weekend and Monday, then fairly quiet through most of next week.

1-4 Day Forecast:

A weak disturbance looks to bring a couple of inches of snow to MN, the northern 3/4 of WI and most of the UP in the next 24 hours, with totals of 1-3″ in most cases. Temps will remain cold, with the freeze line remaining south of the Midwest.

Tomorrow, some light snows look to fall in most areas north of I-80, with most totals running around 1-2″.

Sunday also sees light snows of 1-2″ to fall in much of the northern Midwest, as well as into NE IL, IN and much of OH. Some 2″+ totals are possible in northern MN, NW WI and the western UP. 

By late Sunday into Monday, another clipper is indicated to work through and bring snows of 1-2″ to the Great Lakes region.

5-10 Day Forecast:

Tuesday through Thursday are now currently indicated to be fairly quiet in most of the region, with some light snows possible in all the Northwoods by Friday the 28th.

Temps for this period look to run close to average, with the freeze line sitting south of I-80.

Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2021-22

 




 

December 17, 2021

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General Ideas:

Cooler air has taken over all of the region and looks to hang out through the next 10 days, with most of the Northwoods remaining below freezing for highs. Light snows still look to fall across the far north from time to time in the next 4 days. The 5-10 day period also sees several snow events to impact the northern 1/3rd of the region. Unfortunately chances for a white Christmas south of a line from around Rochester MN to Milwaukee WI to Detroit MI look to be low.

1-4 Day Forecast:

Things will be fairly quiet across most of the region during the day today and then by late in the day some snows will break out in NE SD and SE NE, as well as west central MN. Those snows will then work east and impact the rest of central MN, all of the UP and northern WI with some light totals tonight. Most totals with that activity still look to be around 1-2″, with some 2″+ totals possible in ND and far west central MN.

That system will then finish up across the UP and northern lower MI on Saturday, with totals of 1-3″ in most cases.

Sunday looks to be fairly quiet in all of the region and into Monday. A shot of cooler air Monday does look to generate a bit of LES in the UP snow belts, with most totals in the 1-4″ range. The next clipper type system will also develop snows in ND in the wee morning hours on Tuesday. More on that below.

Temps for most of next 4 days look to remain below freezing for daytime highs in most areas north of around I-80 . The exception looks to be WI and lower MI on Tuesday, when some mid 30’s look to occur.

5-10 Day Forecast:

The forecast for this time frame continues to have OK agreement among the models. There are some small differences, but the general idea for a fairly zonal (west to east) upper air low remains. As mentioned, this zonal flow would not allow any strong systems to develop, but there do look to be several weak to even moderate clipper type systems that will work from west to east and bring chances for snow every 1-2 days.

The clipper that develops snows in ND in the pre-dawn hour Tuesday is indicated to bring a general 2-5″ to the northern 1/2 of MN, WI and lower MI, as well as all of the UP, with some LES to add a few more inches to those totals in the UP Tuesday night. The first half of the week looks to see the snows favor the far northern Midwest, but by the second half of the week, the snows look to impact many areas north of I-80.

Temps look to run average to a bit below for the weekend and next week as well, with the freeze line across southern MN and central sections of WI/lower MI for most of the period.

Seasonal Outlook for Winter 2021-22