Thursday, November 19, 2009

No major changes.

The low that has been plaguing the southern 2/3rds of the Midwest with rains the past few days will finally be lifting out in the next 12 hours and will be taking it’s rains with it. A few widely scattered rains could still occur to the east of the MS River today, but the activity will be light and scattered.

The rest of the region will be quiet today and all of the region will be quiet for tomorrow, Saturday and most of Sunday.

Temps will run in the 40’s and low 50’s in the majority of the region for the next several days.

That next system still looks to arrive by later Sunday and continue into early next week. The pattern still looks to be changing to a more wintry one at the same time this storm swings through the Midwest. However, the change does not look to be as robust as was once indicated.

I still think there will be some light snows that fall across much of the Northwoods in the Tuesday-Thursday time frame next week and the snows could certainly be enough to whiten the ground in these areas, but the models are just not as aggressive with the main jetstream energy dropping south as they once were, so things do not look to get as cold and overall the system for the first half of next week just does not look to be as strong.

To the south and east of the snow area, rains look to fall Monday and Tuesday and then colder air could change the precip over to some snow showers for Wednesday and Thursday, but any accumulations would be less than an inch.

Temps early next week would be warmer than average on the east side of the low (eastern ½ of the Midwest) and fall to below average in the west and then by the end of the week, cooler air dumping in from Canada will send temps to below average in all of the Midwest, but as mentioned things do not look as cold as they did previously and the potential for any LES looks to be less than was previously seen.